Tuesday, 12 May 2015

What are Rovers key weaknesses and how do they set things right?

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Ok, shall we describe our season as a failure?  I think that you have to really, I mean, that everything should have been in place to mount at least a serious challenge to the play offs.  Two ace strikers, a balanced squad with accomplished wingers in Marshall and Conway, an accomplished passer in  Cairney and bite in the tackle with Williamson.  Defence wise we had, if not class, then experience in Baptiste, Killgallon and keepers in Steele and Eastwood who were - at worst - competent.

Except things really did not click did they?  Of those teams above us only Brentford have conceded as many goals and each and every team has outscored us.

Last season we scored and conceded nearly the same as this one. (13/14 F70 A72;  14/15 F66 A59).   During that time there has been a familiar pattern of either "not scoring but not conceding" or "scoring but conceding to many".  When we are ahead we let teams back in to the game too easily.  When we are behind we find it difficult to claw our way back. 

What are Rovers key weaknesses and how do they set things right?

      1. Rovers need to get more players to score more goals.  Beyond the strikers not enough players score goals with Marshall with 6 being the highest goal scorer being Rhodes and Gestede.    
      2.  Rovers need to get their in game defensive management right.  I don't just mean the defenders need to defend.  The team needs to identify how the opponent is attacking and make appropriate tactical adjustments.  This is particularly true when we are ahead in a game and the other team start to attack with greater gusto.
I make no bones about this - this needs to come from the manager. And while I do advocate Gary Bowyer being in place next season, he needs to demonstrate considerable tactical improvement or else I will start to suggest Rovers look elsewhere!

Tuesday, 28 April 2015

Huddersfield Town 2 Blackburn Rovers 2 25th April KO 15:00

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Hi folks... another game, another let down and it was another time where Rovers have been well ahead in a game and let it slip.  Is it a hoodoo or something more mundane? Check out my full analysis of where our season went wrong after Ipswich at home.

Congratulations to Jordan Rhodes, who became the first Rover since Alan Shearer to score twenty goals in three successive seasons, a feat made more remarkable by the fact that the team doesn't even create much for him.

Farewell to David Dunn, a fine player whose potential has been severly hampered by injury.  Dunny has been a fantastic servant to Rovers down the years, especially during the Graham Souness' tenure when he, Damien Duff and Matt Jansen headed a team of exciting talent who made their mark in Premier League.

Having reviewed the game, it looks like Rovers where undone by two good goals... however that does not mean that there weren't mistakes involved.  The free kick was well struck but I feel that Eastwood should have set up the wall better.  The second goal was familiar as well with noone alert enough in closing down the striker.

In short was another game that showed our season in a nutshell.  Rovers dependent on two good strikers' goals,  switch off a couple of times and are roundly punished

With the transfer embargo likely continuing, Gary Bowyer has to get out on the training field and sort out why these lapses keep occurring.  I think that he may need a stronger pair of glasses as he has yet to identify the problem!

Friday, 24 April 2015

Catch up time Rovers: Tue 14th April Birmingham 2 Blackburn Rovers 2; 18th April Blackburn Rovers 3 Nottingham Forrest 3; 21st April Blackburn Rovers 2 Millwall 0


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Well, it's been a busy little time again and as these games are well past I'm not going to bore you with an in depth recap.  I'd rather talk about the interesting conundrum of why Rovers can have two strikers scoring 19 (Rhodes) and 20 (Gestede) goals and yet be miles (12 points) off the playoffs.

"The defense is sh*t!!!" I hear you cry... but I don't think that you can say that things are that straightforward.  Yes, we have conceded 5 goals more than anyone in the playoffs but Brentford have conceded 4 more.

I would rather point at the lack of goal scorers.  Now, before you storm off  thinking I'm talking piffle just hear me out on this....

If you compare Watford's top six goal scorers to Rover's:

Blackburn Rovers

1 Rudy Gestede 20
2 Jordan Rhodes 19
3 Ben Marshall 6
4 Joshua King 4
5 Chris Taylor 3 1 4
6 Alex Baptiste 0 3 3


Watford

1 Troy Deeney 20
2 Odion Ighalo 20
3 Matej Vydra 14
4 Almen Abdi 9
5 F  Forestieri 5
6 Daniel Tozser 5

After the top two goal scorers you have Watford's team scoring 33 goals to Rover's 17, nearly twice as many.  In contrast, Watford have only conceded 6 fewer goals in defense a far less significant statistic tactically.  The trouble Rovers have is that opponents know that if you stop Rovers' strikers you stop Rovers. And that is something that Rovers need to address next season.




Tuesday, 14 April 2015

Catch Up time - Rovers v Liverpool (0-1) 8th April and Reading v Rovers (0-0) 11th April

Well, what remains to be said about the Liverpool game other than it was a little heartbreaking given that I thought that Liverpool looked like they were there for the taking?  Rovers, reverting to a very defensive posture, decided to hang well back and prevent Liverpool and space in their own half. 

I was surprised by the lack of energy (you could say even passion) on display from both sides given what was at stake.  Having said that Rovers were organized and determined and kept their shape very well.  Is there conflict between passion and organization?  To a certain degree no doubt, but if there was error here it was to err' on the side of caution.

Oh what I would have given to see a swashbuckling display, throwing caution to the wind and pouring all over Liverpool like hungry lions!  Instead, we got a measured well drilled performance that appeared to lack something of a beating heart...

We can't be too harsh though, as Rovers defended so well throughout with relatively few poor passes putting the defence in trouble -  something that has dogged our play all season.

Rovers also played passages of tidy football here and there without being very fluent or articulate. 

Jordan Rhodes again showed that here doesn't appear to link up terrible well in attack.  To me, Rhodes is a 'fox in the box' but unfortunatately Rovers just don't give him the ball in areas were he can be effective.  Once, in the first half they gave him the ball there and he managed to engineer space for himself.   Rovers need to create more chances in the box if they wish to maximize Rhodes' potential.

Possibly, the  less said about Reading v Rovers the better but to me Rovers went there for a draw.  They created little throughout the game and managed not even one shot on target all game.  Disappointing  given that we played with two strikers - Rhodes and Brown.

Personally, I was particularly disappointed with Chris Brown who, we are led to believe, is battering on the door of the first team.  In the first half he did little but commit a few fouls and in the second he disappeared completely!  

We can say, however, that a third consecutive clean sheet is not to be sniffed at and that Hanley surely now is going to struggle to get his way back in to the team.  Which may, at least, be good news for some fans!

Roll on Birmingham v Rovers and another clean sheet hopefully supplemented with one or two goals!






Tuesday, 7 April 2015

Leeds United 0 Blackburn Rovers 3 Elland Rd KO 3pm

A fine win for Rovers and a fine performance from debutant goalkeeper David Raya.  It is evident that Bowyer has never been entirely happy with any of his goalkeepers so lets hope we have one to finally fill the gloves of our legendary Brad Friedel.

Although in the end, this was a comfortable win, Rovers still give us nervous moments at the back and let us not forget that Leeds had an early penalty appeal waived away and it took a good save from Raya later on to keep things level before the break

However, this isn't the moment to be negative and their are many positives to take from Saturday's game.  Ben Marshall's performances are difficult to predict at the best of times but he looks like he may be finding a bit of form before Rovers crunch FA cup quater final replay against Liverpool.  Jordan Rhodes (ever since I suggested we sell him) seems to doing his best to prove me wrong with another goal.   And we kept another clean sheet to build confidence nicely.

But the most pleasing thing for me was that Rovers actually performed well against 10 men, dominated the possession (57%) and kept going for more goals when we could have coasted at two nil.  The only slight niggle was that we only had 5 shots on target all game.  This is one area of our game that we definitely need to improve on

Anyway, I can't wait for tomorrows game against Liverpool and all I can say to Brendan Rogers is please play Kolo Toure!  His performance against Arsenal last Saturday warmed the cockles of my heart.... Come on Rovers, fans let's have that Ewood Roar back tomorrow and make our ground a seething cauldron of pressure.  Afterall, Rovers have nothing to fear and everything to gain.  If I was a scouse fan I would be worried!

Thursday, 26 March 2015

Give Gary Bowyer more time!!!!!

 Blackburn Rovers vs Brighton Ewood Park 21st March KO 15:00


Well, wasn't that a thoughly depressing match?  A second successive defeat at home (0-1), and surely even the ever-upbeat Mr Gary Bowyer can judge that the 'game is up' and promotion isn't going to happen.. .
Just had a gander at Mr Bowyer's record:

Games: 102
Won:     38
Drawn   34
Lost       30

Let us compare that to Mr Alladyce (Yes, I know, he has managed more games for us already than Big Sam!)

Games:    90
Won:        32
Drawn:     24
Lost:         34

and the record as you can see is not too dissimilar; plus Gary Bowyer has had to deal with turning the club from a shambolic mess into one that can at least hold its head high again.  We need to be patient with him and give him time, another season at least!




    







Wednesday, 18 March 2015

Blackburn Rovers vs Brentford 19:45 Ewood Park

Okay I'll get it out of the way - we were stung by The Bees... .  Moving on... . Gary Bowyer said that the emotion uppermost in his mind was frustration -you said it Gary!  Frustration, that despite scoring at key times we kept conceding poor goals, frustration that as soon as we score we seem to lose the initiative, frustration that again, even after our recent burst of form, the team returned to type.  Still, things could have been worse last night - we could have been Arsenal crashing out of the Europa Cup to a vastly inferior team!

Despite many positive attributes, this Rovers team seems to have two negative modes: either freely scoring and freely conceding or not scoring and not conceding but prone to falling behind early doors.  Bowyer's main policy appears to have been playing five in midfield but this has led to the team adopting too defensive an approach.  I would hazard that the reason for this is that we don't have anyone in midfield who can burst past the main striker leading to the team tending to play in front of opposition - particulary at home.

I'm not blaming Bowyer and I don't think that there is too much wrong with the team.  We have to remember that he is very new to being a manager and he is still learning. 

The glaring need is to improve defence. Defence has been poor ever since Chris Samba and Ryan Nelson departed and the case for improving the defence has never been stronger.  Time again sloppy defensive errors and a lack of defensive concentration has cost us.  Bowyer needs to get back to basics and just make us hard to beat - and then we can kick on from there.  

A  solid defense would allow us to play with two strikers up front and would enable us to switch more nimbly between defensive and attacking formation. 4-4-2 whilst much maligned can fluidly switch either to 4-2-4 if you are attacking or a more defensive approach if the the midfield hangs back.

I rest my case for the defence!  Any (clean) feedback appreciated

Michael